Impacts of the Drug Trade on Latin American Food Production

Available from: 
July 2014
Paper author(s): 
Marco A. Palma
Luis Ribera
David Bessler
Agricultural - Natural Resource Economics
Conflict, Crime and Violence

This article compiles several sources of drug data to provide an analysis of supply and demand factor influencing the drug trade, including potential effects to agricultural production. All effects were found to be contemporaneously independent with the exception of coca production causing arrests in the U.S. Significant lagged effects were found linking agricultural production and coca production. Seizures and arrests were found to have a lagged deterrent effect on coca production. Seizures and arrests had lagged effects in explaining the variance of each other. It is likely that arrests increase intelligence information, resulting in more seizures and eventually more arrests.


Research section: 
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